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Crown Green Handicap

John Dell

Team: Thingwall BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

437

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 2 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

8

Matches Played

2

Wins

6

Losses

25%

Win Rate

1.0

Avg Win Margin

10.8

Avg Loss Margin

1-3

Home Record

1-3

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
8 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/12/2024

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (8 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 8 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr3 May17 May24 May14 Jun26 Jul5 Aug12 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.20
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
1.0
score-1.00→contribution-0.25
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.8
score-0.47→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
699
score-0.87→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.658
Sample Size Confidence
80%(8/39 matches)
Rating671 → shrunk 737→ adjusted 437
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)437
Recency Blend11% (8 recent matches)
Final Rating437
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W6L8 matches·25% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2024League 372528.6%
Thingwall2024League 31010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/12/2024Philip JacksonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024James KellyH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Deborah SilcockH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2024Julie MccreadieA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2024Christine AutyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024Stephen CorriganA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Rob NunnA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Darren MckennyH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundMartin SmallLever Club9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1025% win rate↑ improving
LWLWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Philip Jackson0110%8/12/2024
James Kelly101100%8/5/2024
Deborah Silcock0110%7/26/2024
Julie Mccreadie101100%6/14/2024
Christine Auty0110%5/24/2024
Stephen Corrigan0110%5/17/2024
Rob Nunn0110%5/3/2024
Darren Mckenny0110%4/26/2024
Biggest Win
James Kelly (+1)8/5/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Stephen Corrigan (-18)5/17/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 50%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
6998 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-625% win rate
League 325%
2W·6L·8 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2024

Latest

Aug 12, 2024

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (8 total)

Seasons

2024